MY OSCAR PREDICTIONS
This is a tricky year for forecasting the Academy Awards. Of the “Big Six” categories, three are virtual locks and the other three are toss-ups. But here are my predictions—NOT my personal preferences, but who I predict WILL win. First, the three easy ones…
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
J.K Simmons for Whiplash. A no-brainer and the biggest lock of the night. Love this guy even though I didn’t love the film as much as some. But one of these days they’d better give Edward Norton a gold guy for sumthin’. Just sayin’.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Patricia Arquette for the irrationally overrated parlor trick called Boyhood. I’ve liked her in so many other things for years, so I’ll be happy she’s finally recognized.
Julianne Moore for Still Alice. Fourth nom is a charm. My proposal of marriage still stands, Julianne. Seriously, call me.
Now the toughies…
This is a two-horse race between Michael Keaton for Birdman and Eddie Redmayne for Theory of Everything. Oscar loves a comeback, but Keaton has pissed a lot of people off over the years. The Hawking role is right in the Academy’s My Left Foot/Rainman wheelhouse. They could, of course, split the vote allowing Bradley Cooper to slip through for American Sniper, which wouldn’t be a tragedy. But if I have to pick—and I do—my money’s on Redmayne.
BEST DIRECTOR & BEST PICTURE
Another two-way race between Birdman and Boyhood. Oscar likes to split these two categories lately, despite years of awarding them to the same film. But Birdman’s Alejandro Inarritu won the DGA Award, so I can’t possibly see it going to anyone else. Which means Best Picture may be an oddly anticlimactic consolation prize for Richard Linklater’s Boyhood. It’ll make me punch a wall because I liked Birdman so much more. And I’d loooooove to see either The Imitation Game or The Grand Budapest Hotel win, because I thought either film was vastly superior to the two front runners. But I think it’s gonna be (gag) Boyhood.
Original Screenplay: Wes Anderson Grand Budapest Hotel
Adapted Screenplay: Graham Moore The Imitation Game
Film Editing: Whiplash
Production Design: Grand Budapest Hotel
Animated Feature: How To Train Your Dragon 2
Animated Short Film: The Dam Keeper
Documentary Feature: Citizen Four
Documentary Short: Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1
Live Action Short: The Phone Call
Foreign Language Film: Ida
Costume Design: Grand Budapest Hotel
Makeup & Hairstyling: Grand Budapest Hotel
Visual Effects: Interstellar
Sound Mixing: Whiplash
Sound Editing: American Sniper
Original Score: Theory of Everything
Original Song: Glory from Selma